2 Commits

Author SHA1 Message Date
DevOps Engineer
82d6bdafba HRT-43 — Test intégration ml_predictions_cache : zéro NULL hippodrome
- Ajout tests/test_ml_cache_integrity.py : 7 tests integration vérifiant
  que hippodrome, race_label et heure ne sont pas NULL pour la date courante
- Ajout marqueur 'integration' dans pytest.ini
- Connexion DB en lecture seule (mode=ro) pour protection prod
- Support variable d'env TEST_DATE et TURF_DB_PATH
- Tests skippés proprement si job 19h30 n'a pas encore tourné
- Validé sur les données 2026-04-26 : 7/7 PASSED (1005 lignes, 0 NULL)

Co-Authored-By: Paperclip <noreply@paperclip.ing>
2026-04-27 14:26:46 +02:00
DevOps Engineer
6b762068fd feat(ml): train ensemble model and generate benchmark report
Results:
  - XGBoost (Optuna 100 trials): AUC=0.7856, Precision@3=0.5783
  - LightGBM (Optuna 100 trials): AUC=0.7833, Precision@3=0.5736
  - MLP (3 layers 256-128-64): AUC=0.7743, Precision@3=0.5643
  - Ensemble (weighted voting): AUC=0.7840, Precision@3=0.5814

  Baseline XGBoost: Precision@3=0.5287
  Delta: +0.0527 (+5.3%) — DEPLOY threshold met (+5%)
  Latency: 35ms/race, 69ms/full-day (well under 200ms limit)

  SHAP: 31/43 features selected, top features: rang_cote,
  implied_prob, cote_direct, ratio_cote_field

  All 12 regression/latency tests passing.

Co-Authored-By: Paperclip <noreply@paperclip.ing>
2026-04-25 19:10:41 +02:00